Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.201758 0.238289 0.279146 0.328173 0.385350 0.449871 0.528151
2025-08-03 0.146337 0.192900 0.250534 0.326887 0.425142 0.547072 0.709600
2025-08-10 0.110864 0.158939 0.223213 0.314968 0.442063 0.611303 0.853081
2025-08-17 0.086111 0.132473 0.198584 0.299006 0.446824 0.655375 0.970644
2025-08-24 0.072684 0.118850 0.188442 0.299931 0.472767 0.728865 1.134936
2025-08-31 0.060160 0.104045 0.173651 0.290712 0.480921 0.775521 1.263128
2025-09-07 0.052853 0.096156 0.168059 0.294362 0.508386 0.853170 1.445956
2025-09-14 0.046353 0.088444 0.161399 0.294870 0.530042 0.922961 1.622646
2025-09-21 0.040203 0.080285 0.152662 0.290294 0.541929 0.977061 1.777937
2025-09-28 0.035462 0.073936 0.146144 0.288536 0.558046 1.039288 1.952688
2025-10-05 0.033419 0.072457 0.148335 0.302955 0.604876 1.159749 2.242294
2025-10-12 0.032088 0.072183 0.152721 0.321965 0.662201 1.304493 2.590052
2025-10-19 0.029851 0.069930 0.153389 0.334768 0.711158 1.442727 2.948151
2025-10-26 0.026582 0.064941 0.147850 0.334385 0.734291 1.535112 3.230373
2025-11-02 0.022822 0.058173 0.137504 0.322314 0.731667 1.576209 3.415178
2025-11-09 0.019322 0.051372 0.126022 0.306009 0.717692 1.592246 3.549876
2025-11-16 0.017466 0.048256 0.122437 0.306956 0.741434 1.689052 3.863542
2025-11-23 0.015226 0.043753 0.114889 0.297531 0.740424 1.732463 4.066579
2025-11-30 0.013994 0.041684 0.112944 0.301263 0.770292 1.846540 4.436770
2025-12-07 0.012735 0.039314 0.109885 0.301782 0.792485 1.945510 4.782878
2025-12-14 0.011384 0.036433 0.105063 0.297104 0.801298 2.014430 5.066537
2025-12-21 0.010310 0.034166 0.101534 0.295307 0.817081 2.101295 5.401277
2025-12-28 0.009974 0.034084 0.104007 0.310049 0.877276 2.301283 6.028564